| Society Of Business Economists Annual
Conference |
| Thursday 9 June 2011, 9am – 1pm |
| Institute of Civil Engineers 1 Great George Street, London
SW1P 3AA |
| A PDF version of this page that includes the booking form can be found at the foot of this article. |
|
| Is the worst behind us? |
| Following the worst recession since the 1930s, the recovery of the
global economy began well last year: global GDP growth was stronger in
2010 than it had been for almost four decades. Despite this promising
start, the recovery now appears fraught with uncertainty and risk. |
| Some of the global challenges we face are familiar, even if they
remain unresolved. Growth in the US economy has risen, supported by an
unprecedented easing in monetary and fiscal policy. How robust will the
recovery be to a withdrawal of this support? Will the crisis in the
periphery of the Euro-zone de-rail the recovery in the world’s second
largest economy? Will the Euro be able to survive with a “two-speed”
economy? |
| For the UK, the key question remains as to whether growth can be
sustained at a time when fiscal policy is being tightened very sharply.
Is the new government making a mistake, or were its hands tied by the
fiscal legacy of its predecessor? Can monetary policy remain
accommodative in the face of persistent high UK inflation? |
| 2011 has also brought fresh challenges to the global recovery. The
‘Jasmine revolution’ raises the possibility of fundamental democratic
reform across the Middle East and North Africa. But it could result in
ongoing conflict in the region, rather than positive democratic change
and, even if the long term consequences are constructive, the political
unrest threatens the global oil supply in the short term. How optimistic
should we be about the region? |
These are some of the questions that our distinguished line-up of
speakers will address at the 2011
SBE Conference, which will be chaired by the BBC’s Evan Davis.
Early booking form and programme attached
Book early to ensure your place |
|
| Biographical Details |
| Evan Davis is a presenter of the
BBC Radio 4 Today programme and presenter of the BBC2 business reality
show, Dragons Den. Also on Radio 4, he presents a weekly business
discussion programme, The Bottom Line. Prior to the Today programme he
was the Economics Editor of the BBC, promoted to that role after working
as an economics correspondent for BBC news and as economics editor of
the Newsnight programme on BBC2 in the 1990s. Before joining the BBC in
1993, he was an economist at the Institute for Fiscal Studies, and at
the London Business School |
| Charles Plosser became the
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s 10th president and chief
executive office on August 1, 2006. Before coming to Philadelphia, he
was the John M Olin Distinguished Professor of Economics and Public
Policy and director of the Bradley Policy Research Centre at the William
E Simon Graduate School of Business Administration, where he also served
as dean from 1993 to 2003. He was also a professor of economics in the
Department of Economics at the University of Rochester. He has also been
a visiting scholar the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve Bank of
Minneapolis. |
| Elga Bartsch is Morgan Stanley’s
Chief European Economist. The main focus of her research is the euro
area, especially the monetary policy of the European Central Bank. Elga
is also a member of the ECB Shadow Council. In addition, she still
covers some core European countries, primarily Germany, the Netherlands
and Austria, and the Nordic economies. Elga was recently voted one of
the hundred most influential women in European finance. In addition to
her European role, Elga spearheads a global research effort on the
economics of climate change. She joined Morgan Stanley in September 1997
from the Kiel Institute of World Economics, a large German economic
think-tank. |
| Claire Spencer is Head of the
Middle East Programme at Chatham House (the Royal Institute for
International Affairs), and responsible for the oversight of all
research, seminars and publications relating to the Middle East. She has
written and commented widely on US and EU policy towards Iran,
Israel-Palestine and the broader Middle East, in addition to her core
research interest in North Africa. Claire has worked on North African
and Mediterranean issues since the early 1980s, with particular emphasis
on the Euro- Mediterranean Partnership and the security dimensions of
the EU's relations with North Africa and the Middle East. |
| Paul Johnson is Director of the
Institute for Fiscal Studies. Formerly, Paul was a research fellow at
IFS and an associate of Frontier Economics. From 2004 to 2007 he was
director of the public services and growth directorate and chief
micro-economist at HM Treasury, as well as deputy head of the Government
Economic Service. He previously worked in senior posts at the Department
for Education and Skills and the Financial Services Authority. |
| DeAnne Julius is Chairman of
Chatham House and a non-executive director of BP plc and Roche Holdings
SA. She also serves on the advisory boards of UK and US hedge funds and
is Vice President of the Society of Business Economists. From 1997-2001
Dr Julius was a founder member of the Monetary Policy Committee of the
Bank of England. From 2001- 2004 she served on the Court of the Bank.
Prior to joining the MPC, she held a number of positions in the private
sector including Chief Economist at British Airways and Shell. |
|
| Conference Programme |
| 0830 |
Registration and coffee |
| 0900 |
Chairman’s introduction
Evan Davis Today
Programme, BBC |
| Session 1:
Outlook and risks for the global recovery |
| 0905 |
Keynote address
Charles I Plosser President,
The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| 0935 |
Question and answer session |
| 0945 |
Europe’s sovereign crisis: prospects and
potential solutions
Elga Bartsch Chief
European Economist, Morgan Stanley |
| 1015 |
The political developments in the Middle East
and Africa
Claire Spencer Head,
Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House |
| 1045 |
Question and answer session |
| 1105 |
Coffee |
| Session 2:
The outlook for UK monetary and fiscal policy |
| 1135 |
Outlook for UK fiscal policy
Paul Johnson Director,
Institute for Fiscal Studies |
| 1205 |
Outlook for UK monetary policy
Deanne Julius Chairman,
Chatham House |
| 1235 |
Question and answer session |
| 1300 |
Lunch |
|